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Business and Economics (MIT)
Even the most sophisticated technology and computational methods may not be
enough to prevent the kind of disastrous errors that recently played out
across the global economy, suggest these two speakers. Human temperament and
judgment will remain critical factors in financial markets.
When there is an economic incentive, says **Andrew Lo**, “technology has
always been put into practice quickly.” Soon after the invention of the
telegraph, Wall Street was draped in wires. Lo offers a thumbnail of
significant milestones in computer and financial technologies, including
macroeconomic modeling, linear programming, portfolio optimization, and the
controversial securitization and CDO models implicated in the 2007-08 economic
debacle.
Many of these marriages of high tech and finance proved successful and
beneficial to millions: stock option valuation formulas enabled the launch of
new exchanges, and the evolution of computing has made electronic trading
possible and cheap for multitudes. But there have also been “unintended
consequences,” says Lo, a “theme that runs across all technology, not just
finance.” He shows an index of U.S. residential housing prices from 1890 to
2006, which shows a major uptick at the end – graphic illustration of last
decade’s “extraordinary run up of housing prices.” This inflation and ...
MIT
